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EPIC COMMODITY UPDATE 30 JULY 2014 : MCX GOLD

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Gold trading range for the day is 27662-28192.
Gold fell as investors nervously awaited the end of U.S. Federal Reserve's two-day policy meeting to see if the central bank will raise interest rates
Recent strong economic data has prompted many to believe that the Fed may raise rates sooner than expected.


U.S. second-quarter GDP data, due on Wednesday, and July employment numbers due on Friday are other indicators the market will be watching.

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EPIC COMMODITY UPDATE 30 JULY 2014 : MCX SILVER

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Silver trading range for the day is 43843-44863.
Silver was steady to higher as investors bought ahead of Federal Reserve interest rate announcements later Wednesday that will set market direction.
The metal was also pressured by US dollar, which hovered at a six-month high on expectations of strong economic data and a hawkish tone from the Fed.


Fed will make a statement later today, with markets watching for clues on when the U.S. central bank will begin increasing interest rates.

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EPIC COMMODITY UPDATE 30 JULY 2014 : MCX CRUDE OIL

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Crudeoil trading range for the day is 6036-6144.
Crude oil dropped amid concerns that this week's supply data will depict a U.S. economy that is awash in crude.
U.S. crude oil inventories fell by 4.4 million barrels to 369.4 million, compared with expectations for a decrease of 1.5 million barrels, data from API showed.
Today crude oil inventories: Exp: -0.5M Prev: -4.0M. Actual is at 8.00PM

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EPIC COMMODITY UPDATE 30 JULY 2014 : MCX COPPER

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Copper trading range for the day is 427.7-432.9.

Copper prices slipped prospects of growing supplies overshadowed encouraging signs of health in the global economy

The copper market was expected to register another year of surplus this year, in a move that is seen weighing on prices.

Chile's massive Collahuasi copper mine has resumed operations following a temporary work stoppage.

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EPIC COMMODITY UPDATE 30 JULY 2014 : MCX ZINC

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Zinc trading range for the day is 139.2-146.4.
Zinc retreated after hovering near three-year highs on expectations of a tightening market.
In the U.S. consumer confidence jumped in July to a monthly high not seen since October 2007, according to a private sector report.
Several top zinc mines are drying up, including Century in Australia, while a recovery in the construction industry would revive demand from galvanisers.

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EPIC COMMODITY UPDATE 30 JULY 2014 : MCX NICKEL

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Nickel trading range for the day is 1107.5-1133.3.
Nickel dropped on news that two Indonesia-based companies are allowed to export concentrate with paying export tax triggered market concerns.
US Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index posted an unexpected rise in July to its highest since October 2007, market failed to gain support therefrom.


The US Federal Reserve is expected to release the minutes of its latest interest rate meeting late on Wednesday, which should be in line with expectations

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EPIC COMMODITY UPDATE 30 JULY 2014 : MCX NATURAL GAS

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Natural gas trading range for the day is 225.1-232.1.
Natural gas gains but held range bound as investors bet a recent spate of mild U.S. temperatures will result in bearish supply report.
The U.S. government is due to release its weekly supply report on Thursday, with many investors in standby mode ahead of then.

Total U.S. natural gas storage stood at 2.219tcf as of last week, narrowing the deficit to the five-year average to 23.5%.

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EPIC COMMODITY UPDATE 30 JULY 2014 : MCX ALUMINIUM

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Aluminium trading range for the day is 117.6-120.6.

Aluminium dropped as investors took profits out of caution ahead of the release of a draft of economic data.

Growing geopolitical tensions dampened market sentiment.

US Consumer Confidence Index hit a 6-year high, but home price index in large US cities missed forecasts.

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LME Inventories Data: July 28, 2014

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Copper stocks -1700 MT to 150900, 

Aluminum Stocks +64000 MT to 4977225 MT, 

Nickel Stocks -354 MT to 311802 MT, 

Zinc Stocks -2050 MT to 651850 MT, 

Lead Stocks -100 MT to 214425 MT.


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EPIC COMMODITY UPDATE 28 JULY 2014 : MCX SILVER

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Silver trading range for the day is 43702-44626.

Silver prices ended with gains as investors stepped in to scoop up the metal amid conflicts in Ukraine and the Middle East.

Prices dropped on weekly basis mostly on speculation that an improving employment sector in US could signal an early rate increase by Fed.

Holdings at ishares silver trust gained by 0.25% i.e. 25.37 tonnes to 10014.63 tonnes from 9989.26 tonnes.

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EPIC COMMODITY UPDATE 28 JULY 2014 : MCX GOLD

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Gold trading range for the day is 27537-28165.

Gold rose as heightened tensions between Russia and the West over Ukraine prompted speculators to buy back their positions.

Prices came under pressure on Thursday after data showed new claims for unemployment benefit in US fell to lowest level in nearly 8-1/2 years.

India does not have any current proposal to cut the record 10 percent import duty on gold.

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EPIC COMMODITY UPDATE 28 JULY 2014 : MCX NICKEL

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Nickel trading range for the day is 1132.1-1170.1.
Nickel settled down after the update that China’s nickel ore and concentrate imports fell by 32.4% y/y
Goldman Sachs Group Inc. raised its price forecast for nickel as the market is swinging to a deficit next year following an ore-export ban in Indonesia.


U.S. will release the monthly non-farm payrolls report for July later in the week as well as a preliminary estimate on second quarter economic growth.

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EPIC COMMODITY UPDATE 28 JULY 2014 : MCX ZINC

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Zinc trading range for the day is 142.6-145.8.

Zinc settled up as speculation mounted that global demand will exceed supplies.

Zinc inventories monitored by LME have tumbled 30 percent this year to 653,900 metric tons, the lowest since December 2010.


Goldman Sachs Group Inc. forecasts a global production deficit will widen to 154,000 metric tons next year.

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EPIC COMMODITY UPDATE 28 JULY 2014 : MCX COPPER

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Copper trading range for the day is 428-438.8.
Copper dropped on profit booking but gains on weekly basis on expectations the global economy is on a firmer footing and on a brighter outlook.
There was also support from strong job market data in the United States, although this was tempered by an 8.1 percent fall in new home sales in June


Investors should be focused on US July manufacturing PMI and pending home sales for June due for release late today.

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EPIC COMMODITY UPDATE 28 JULY 2014 : MCX CRUDE OIL

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Crude oil trading range for the day is 6048-6226.
Crude oil recovered from lows as fighting in Ukraine and deteriorating relations between Russia and US ignited new fears of supply disruptions.
Continued violence in Libya and Israel provided further support for oil prices.


In Libya, oil production has risen to 500,000 barrels per day, but there is no progress on reopening its Brega oil port.

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EPIC COMMODITY UPDATE 28 JULY 2014 : MCX NATURAL GAS

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Natural gas trading range for the day is 223.8-236.4.
Natural gas dropped after updated weather-forecasting models called for mild temperatures to hover in the coming days.
The bearish weather report wiped out gains stemming from Thursday's bullish weekly inventory report.


The five-year average change for the week is an increase of 46 billion cubic feet.

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EPIC COMMODITY UPDATE 28 JULY 2014 : MCX ALUMINIUM

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Aluminium trading range for the day is 117.7-122.9.
Aluminium dropped on profit booking on the news that rising Chinese output is likely to act as a brake on aluminium's rally
The global aluminum market has moved into deficit of 579,000 tons this year, with the gap increasing to 619,000 tons next year.


Inventories monitored by the London Metal Exchange are at the lowest since September 2012, a bourse data showed.

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LME Inventories Data: July 25, 2014

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Copper stocks -1750 MT to 152600, 

Aluminum Stocks -8825 MT to 4913225 MT, 

Nickel Stocks +192 MT to 312156 MT, 

Zinc Stocks -1050 MT to 653900 MT, 

Lead Stocks +1100 MT to 214525 MT.


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